Health Sector Modelling
Comparative Effectiveness Modelling (CEM)
Health care planning is a challenging process in which ‘apples’ have to be compared with ‘pears’; a process in which trade-offs have to be made and many different perspectives accommodated. Service planning requires understanding of the consequences of the design options being considered. What will be the true cost, over time, of the changes you are proposing and what will be the return in terms of health outcomes?
Trying to balance the investment options between services is even harder. However, effective health planning, in a constrained environment has to balance investment in one service, with disinvestment in another. Taking money away from any part of the health service is fraught with difficulties so it is important that such decisions are supported by the best evidence available and that the planning process engages the managers, policy makers and clinicians who have to implement it.
CEM uses a collaborative process to develop clear causal models, utilising the best local, national and international evidence to provide the understanding needed to make well informed investment decisions. CEM combines the best evidence with stakeholder engagement to develop a dynamic simulation model that can be used to explore different service options and the consequences of pursuing one option over another.