Health Sector Modelling
Examples of models
Type II Diabetes is continuing to grow at alarming rates. This diabetes model explores the implications of different strategies; from upstream work to prevent the onset of obesity to more downstream work helping people better manage their condition. To run the model click here.
This paper, describing the original work, was presented at the International System Dynamics Conference in Nijmegen in 2006.
The current focus on ED performance makes it important that we understand the factors that impact the flow of patients through the ED department and the factors that affect whether or not the hospital is able to meet its 6 hour target. This simplified model highlights that the flow of patients through Emergency Care (EC) is affected by many factors outside the control of the ED department and that to makes progress on hitting the 6 hour target for ED waiting time it is important to take a ‘whole of system’ approach. This model explores the impact of changes to factors such as ALOS, the capacity available in short stay or assessment units and the volume of patient arrivals. It also shows that the effect of any changes is not uniform, with peak volumes often rising much more sharply than normal average flows. To run the model click here.